Horgan scores last gasp try to seal Triple Crown!
Six Nations betting guide Sports betting expert David Myers has extensively analysed the NatWest Six Nations and has shortlisted his best bets in a range of markets for the big Rugby Union tournament including top tryscorer, highest scoring game plus player of the tournament.
This historic competition never disappoints in providing excitement, as was witnessed last year when champions England were denied the Grand Slam at the final hurdle in Ireland.
Those two nations look set to be at the forefront once more, though the new points system source for the first time last year saw another high-scoring campaign in which teams produced more attacking play — for instance, France recorded their highest points tally since 2011, helping them to secure third place.
England have proven the most consistent in this tournament during the last decade too, making the top two all bar once.
The 2019 World Cup will also be on the horizon for Six nations triple crown 2018 as he plots to turn England into he No.
While England lost only once under Jones, he still introduced eight uncapped players into his 35-man squad, suggesting there could be some chopping and changing throughout the campaign — possibly with the World Cup in mind — and Jones still has to find his best midfield combination.
The experienced Owen Farrell and George Ford kicking points will be key, and England showed during the autumn internationals that they picked up the winning thread following the disappointment of missing out in a Grand Six nations triple crown 2018 in Ireland.
The second of those games at Murrayfield for the Calcutta Cup will be a huge test, and could prove the key to another Six Nations title.
Verdict: Deserving favourites, but not as solid as 12 months ago with three away games to come, including at Scotland and France.
Ireland World ranking: 3 Odds: 15-8 Last 10 Six Nations finishes: 2, 3, 1, 1, 5, 3, 3, 2, 1, 4.
But, it is the aforementioned opener in France that is key, as Les Bleus have each of their last five home games on the opening weekend of the tournament during the last 10 years, including against Ireland.
Verdict: Remain as strong as last year, but tough away fixtures in France and England could derail their title prospects.
Scotland World ranking: 5 Odds: 11-1 Last 10 Six Nations finishes: 4, 4, 6, 5, 3, 6, 5, 5, 5, 5.
Fixtures: 3 Feb v Wales A 11 Feb v France H 23 Feb v England H 10 Mar v Ireland A 17 Mar v Italy A Recent results latest first : Won 53-24 Australia H Lost 17-22 New Zealand H Won 44-38 Samoa H Lost 22-27 Fiji A Won 34-13 Italy A New coach, Gregor Townsend, has not only kept Scotland http://winning-casino.top/2018/ragnarok-leveling-guide-2018.html in the right direction since taking the reins in May, but has also improved them into a better side.
Scotland won all three home games last season, including an opening game defeat of Ireland, and will need to be ready from the outset once again when visiting Wales on 3 February.
The fact they play three away games in the forthcoming campaign is a little off-putting, but they are capable of winning in Wales and Italy, while home wins against the French and England are not out the question, especially as the latter will be their cup final.
However, there is bad news on the injury front, as the front row pairing of Fraser Brown and Ross Ford will be missing, along with WP Nel and George Turner, though that is somewhat counteracted by the return of both star players, Stuart Hogg and Greig Laidlaw.
Verdict: A hungry and improving side set to go well, but several injuries and three away games may just hinder any title prospects.
Wales World ranking: 7 Odds: 18-1 Last 10 Six Nations: 5, 2, 3, 3, 1, 1, 4, 4, 4, 1.
Fixtures: 3 Feb v Scotland H 10 Feb v England A 24 Feb v Ireland A 11 Mar v Italy H 17 Mar v France H Article source results latest first : Won 24-22 South Africa H Lost 18-33 New Zealand Here Won 13-6 Georgia H Lost 21-29 Australia H Won 19-17 Samoa A Won 24-6 Tonga 24-6 A Following their slip from No.
The good news is the Dragons will have their respected coach, Warren Gatland, back steering the ship, and their performances in the autumn internationals offered encouragement in how they attacked opposing nations, including their final victory over South Africa.
The bad news is that key player, Sam Warburton, will be out for the entire campaign, while George North, Jonathan Davies, Liam Williams, Dan Biggar and Taulupe Faletau will miss the start of the tournament at least.
Their final two home games appear to offer the chance of six nations triple crown 2018 uplifting finish to the campaign, especially as they won 12 of their last 16 games at the Millennium Stadium, including victory over Ireland last March.
France World ranking: 9 Odds: 25-1 Last 10 Six Nations: 3, 5, 4, 4, 6, 4, 2, 1, 3, 3.
Such a poor run in form included a failure to win any of their four autumn internationals — albeit two were against New Zealand — which resulted in them falling to No.
Les Bleus will also be without Wesley Fofana for the entire tournament, plus Morgan Parra and Mathieu Bastareaud for the opener against Ireland.
Italy World ranking: 14 Odds: 1500-1 Last 10 Six Nations: 6, 6, 5, 6, 4, 5, 6, 6, 6, 6, 4.
Their world-class captain, Sergio Parisse, along with fellow veterans, Leonardo Ghiraldini and Alessandro Zanni, will offer solidity, but they will need some of their young guns to fire if making any progress.
Verdict: Could be left holding the wooden spoon once more with three tough away games to negotiate.
The question for punters is: do they represent a bet?
Well, at this stage 12 months ago, the bookies went odds-on about England winning the Six Six nations triple crown 2018, and those odds proved right as they pretty much did it in a canter, having secured the title before losing their last game in Ireland.
Unlike last year, England also face three six nations triple crown 2018 games, while more importantly their rivals may be closing the gap.
Ireland will again prove solid opposition, while both France and Scotland are improving — the latter at a rate of knots.
As for the remaining five teams, then punters seeking to back the winner at a bigger price will draw heart from the fact that six of the last 10 Six Nations winners finished third or worse in the same competition 12 months previously.
Well, they arguably offer more value at odds of 15-8 and have been supported in recent weeks, but they do travel to England for the final game, while no team managed to win in France on the opening weekend for a decade.
What the odds suggest is that there are more reasons to be against both England and Ireland, as there learn more here more chinks in their armour than 12 months ago.
GRAND SLAM and TRIPLE CROWN With the Grand Slam achieved five times during the last 10 years, there is an evens chance of another in 2018 — the exact odds quoted by the bookies for any nation to achieve the feat, so not much value in that department.
Going by the fixture list there appear enough banana skins for the leading nations to slip up, so the offer of evens does not appeal this time around.
However, punters have the option of gaining bigger odds about which nation may achieve the Grand Slam, with 5-2 England, 7-2 Ireland and 25-1 Scotland.
There are skinnier odds of 2-5 about any side achieving the Triple Crown, also achieved on five occasions since 2008, and the bookies go 13-8 for England making it three Triple Crowns in five years, while Ireland are 5-2 to achieve their first since 2009.
Wales were Triple Crown winners in both 2012 and 2008 but are 33-1, while Scotland to beat all three home nations for the first time since 1990 is a 16-1 chance.
With a tight Six Nations in store, some punters may instead choose to go against the grain in no Triple Crown winner at 15-8.
TOP TRYSCORER Always one of the most open and popular markets, the top tryscorer offers a chance to nail a juicy double-figure odds winner, and has been won by the following names down the years.
Hogg would need to be the first clearcut winner of this award to have represented Scotland in recent years, as the other winners came from England, Ireland and Wales.
Another fact six nations triple crown 2018 noting is that eight of the last 10 nations to have scored most tries in the Six Nations played a trio of home games during that campaign.
Ireland, Wales and France on the other hand, each have three home fixtures.
TOP POINT SCORER As with the top try scorer, the top point scorer has emerged from just three countries since 2008: England, Ireland and Wales.
TOTAL TOURNAMENT TRIES The introduction of a bonus point system last year to encourage more tries made an impact on this market, especially as the mantra for tight defences governing matches several years ago seems to have gone out of fashion.
Year Total tries 2017 66 2016 71 2015 62 2014 61 2013 37 2012 46 2011 51 2010 48 2009 56 2008 50 2007 65 2006 61 2005 71 2004 68 2003 74 2002 75 2001 75 2000 75 The above figures tell a revealing story as to how head coaches moved from an attacking style of play 10-15 years ago to a more defensive system in subsequent years, producing a dramatic fall in the number of tries.
However, the rebirth of a more attacking style saw an encouraging reversal in numbers during the last few years, and the emphasis for more tries suggests it could be the fifth consecutive year in which the 60-mark is broken.
The bad news is the bookies have latched on, for last year they offered 5-6 about 61.
On that basis, there appears no value this time around.
TOTAL TOURNAMENT POINTS The above criteria regarding the total of tournament tries also applies to this six nations triple crown 2018, with an attacking game more fashionable than five years ago, resulting in a upward growth of points scored.
Indeed, the last four years saw the 600+ mark passed.
Year Total points 2017 653 2016 693 2015 660 2014 603 2013 534 2012 538 2011 589 2010 594 2009 597 2008 595 2008 595 Once again, with a number of bonus points available this year, it looks likely another 600+ six nations triple crown 2018 could struck, though the bookies have again done their research and offer 5-6 about 662.
Last year, the quote was 5-6 for 623.
TEAM TO SCORE MOST TRIES With the most recent Six Nations providing some real try fests, the likes of England, Ireland and Wales look sure to be among the high-scorers once more, as they were in past years.
Year Team with most tries Number of home games that season 2017 England 14 3 home games 2016 Wales 17 3 home games 2015 England 18 3 home games 2014 Ireland 16 3 home games 2013 Wales 9 2 home games 2012 Ireland 13 3 home games 2011 England 13 3 home games 2010 France 13 3 home games 2009 England 16 3 home games 2008 Wales 13 3 home games A key fact to take on board from the above list is the majority of teams who racked up most tries did so by playing three home games that season.
HIGHEST AND LOWEST SCORING GAME For investors looking to focus on individual games in which to make a profit, then they can dabble in a number of other markets, including winning margins, handicaps and total points, where the following head-to-head list may help highlight a few interesting angles.
Last 10 years head-to-head all competitions and grounds Teams Head-to-head Average score Ave.
One of the most consistent outcomes was when Wales faced England, as the pair recorded 37-47 match points on 10 occasions during their last 14 clashes — a handy pointer for those playing the match points market.
For instance, Wales lead Scotland 9-1 in head-to-heads during the last 10 years, but the Scots have put in some improved performances during their last three meetings, notching at least 23 points on each occasion — progress that saw them come out on top in 2017.
Wales also feature in two of the three highest scoring matches based on average points produced per game during the last 10 years, with their games against Italy sitting at the top.
Wales also made the top two highest scoring games uk tennis camp 2018 four of the last five years as can be seen via the following table.
This only tells half the story, however, as more recent results show which forwards and defences appeared at each end of the scoreboard.
Punters looking for bigger odds may want to consider Ireland v Scotland at 11-1, as that exact fixture produced the second-highest points tally in 2012.
Year Lowest scoring games 2017 Ireland 13 England 9 Week 5 ; Ireland 19 France 9 Week 3 2016 France 10 Ireland 9 Sloth evolutionary timeline 2 ; Scotland 9 England 15 Week 1 2015 France 15 Please click for source 8 Week 1 ; Ireland 19 England 9 Week 3 2014 Scotland 0 England 20 Week 2 ; England 13 Ireland 10 Week 3 2013 Ireland 6 England 12 Week 2 ; Scotland 12 Ireland 8 Week 3 2012 Scotland 6 England 13 Week 1 ; Italy 13 Scotland 6 Week 5 2011 Italy 11 Ireland 13 Week 1 ; England 17 France 9 Week 3 2010 France 12 England 10 Week 5 ; Scotland 9 France 18 Week 1 2009 Ireland 14 England 13 Week 3 ; Scotland 26 Italy 6 Week 3 2008 Scotland 15 England 9 Week 4 ; Ireland 16 Italy 11 Week 1 Ireland featured heavily in recent times, producing at least one of the two lowest points games in each of the last five years, including both home games in 2017.
PLAYER OF THE TOURNAMENT There has been a growing interest in this particular market during the last decade, with a host of fancy double-figure odds available about some of the biggest names in the sport.
A glance at the table below also highlights some of the past names to have been awarded the illustrious crown.
Year Player Country 2017 Stuart Hogg Scotland 2016 Stuart Hogg Scotland 2015 Paul O'Connell Ireland 2014 Mike Brown England 2013 Leigh Halfpenny Wales 2012 Dan Lydiate Wales 2011 Andrea Masi Italy 2010 Tommy Bowe Ireland 2009 Brian O'Driscoll Ireland 2008 Shane Williams Wales What may come as a surprise is that no French player won the prize going back to its inception in 2004, since when Ireland produced six winners, with Wales next courtesy of three winners.
Scotland meanwhile, won it for the last two years thanks to Stuart Hogg.
The six-time top trainer at the big meeting has a smart string for 2018 with live contenders across the four days including Black Corton, Modus, Politolgue and Wonderful Charm.
Master The World 16-1Master Dee 8-1Dark Alliance 15-8 and Desert Wind 7-4 were all winners last week for Alan Thomson.
Alan is back with six more eyecatchers for you to add to your ATR Tracker.
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